← 店家冠軍賽

Wind Luxem AssassinTier 2

at 店家冠軍賽

decks
2 (25.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6 2-4-0
overall winrate
33.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
38.8% avg ELO -6.0 per match
expected value
46.7% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
46.3% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1309 · median 1309 · range 1293–1326 (2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1161 Q1 1178 Q3 1367 1535
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Fire Oblation 12.5% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 46.0% -6.4
Fire Slimes 12.5% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 38.9% -17.7
Fire Umbra Guardian 12.5% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 46.0% -6.4
Water Aetherwing 12.5% 0
Water Fractal 12.5% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 36.3% -21.9
Water Tera Mage 12.5% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 55.2% +8.3
Wind Razorgale 12.5% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 55.1% +8.2
Decklists · 2 from this event

The 2 public Wind Luxem Assassin decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

Mirror Analysis

In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.

Show all 28 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 28 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Calming Breeze -1.00 0 1 0
Aesan Protector +1.00 1 0 0
Tempestuous Seraphim +1.00 1 0 0
Veiling Breeze -1.00 0 1 0
Heavenly Guide -1.00 0 1 0
Ensnaring Fumes -1.00 0 1 0
Gleaming Cut -1.00 0 1 0
Lost Providence -1.00 0 1 0
Luxem Sight -1.00 0 1 0
Turbo Charge -1.00 0 1 0
Verdigris Decree +1.00 1 0 0
Crystallized Destiny +1.00 1 0 0
Scatter Essence -1.00 0 1 0
Regal Inquisition +1.00 1 0 0
Topsy Decree +1.00 1 0 0
Angel Attendant -1.00 0 1 0
Viridian Protective Trinket -1.00 0 1 0
Imperial Countermeasure +1.00 1 0 0
Stifling Trap +1.00 1 0 0
Blanche, Sheltering Saint +1.00 1 0 0
Benediction Angel -1.00 0 1 0
Surveil the Winds -1.00 0 1 0
Psychopomp's Gale -1.00 0 1 0
Swift Recruit -1.00 0 1 0
Quicksilver Grail +1.00 1 0 0
Tariff Ring +1.00 1 0 0
Nullifying Mirror +1.00 1 0 0
Dream Fairy +1.00 1 0 0

JSON: /api/events/52090/archetypes/Wind Luxem Assassin